Factores relevantes de la inestabilidad del mercado petrolero
Factors explaining the instability of the international oil market
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El mercado petrolero es inestable e impredecible debido al impacto de los elementos politicos, militares, tecnologicos y climaticos. La nueva y estrecha relación con el mercado inanciero, en particular con los mercados a futuro, complica el panorama. Este articulo analiza el impacto de la especulacion bursatil sobre el precio del petroleo y la relacion con las variables estructurales en el periodo 2000-2017. Los resultados muestran que las variables financieras elevan la inestabilidad y atenuan la influencia de los factores de oferta y demanda.
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