Auge minero y desindustrialización en América Latina
Mining boom and deindustrialization in Latin America
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Resumen
La producción minera creció notablemente en américa latina en las Dos últimas décadas y el auge de sus exportaciones redujo la producción Y la exportación de bienes industriales, provocando la enfermedad Holandesa. Este estudio explora sus efectos empleando un modelo de Regresión con datos de panel y un análisis gráfico de regresiones locales Polinómicas. Los resultados indican que la minería desplaza a la Industria en aquellos países donde las exportaciones mineras superan Cierto umbral, el cual debe servir de alarma para que las autoridades Económicas intervengan en forma activa.
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Referencias (VER)
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Baldwin, R. (1966). Economic development and export growth: A study of Northern Rhodesia, 1920-1960. Berkeley y Los Angeles, CA: University of California Press.
Buffie, E. F. (1992). On the condition for export-led growth. Canadian Journal of Economics, 25(1), 211-225.
Corden, W. M. (1984). Booming sector and Dutch disease economics: Survey and consolidation. Oxford Economic Papers, 36(3), 359-380.
Corden, W. M. y Neary, P. (1982). Booming sector and de-industrialization in a small open economy. Economic Journal, 92(368), 825-848.
Fontaine, G. (2002). Sobre bonanzas y dependencia: petróleo y enfermedad holandesa en el Ecuador. Íconos. Revista de Ciencias Sociales, (13), 102-110.
Hamilton, J. (1983). Oil and the macroeconomy since World War II. Journal of Political Economy, 91(2), 228-248.
Hirschman, A. (1958). The strategy of economic development. New Haven, Conn. Yale University Press.
Isham, J.; Woolcock, M. et al. (2005). The varieties of resource experience: Natural resource export structures and the political economy of economic growth. The World Bank Economic Review, 19(2), 141-174.
Jiménez, J. P. y Tromben, V. (2006). Política fiscal y bonanza: impacto del aumento de los precios de los productos no renovables en América Latina y el Caribe. Revista de la Cepal, (90), 61-86.
Katz, J. y Bernat, G. (2013). Dilemas de política económica en América Latina: evidencia para Argentina, Brasil y Chile. Revista de Economía Política de Buenos Aires, 7(12), 73-104.
Krugman, P. (1987). The narrow moving band, the Dutch disease, and the competitive consequences of Mrs. Thatcher: Notes on trade in the presence of dynamic scale economies. Journal of Development Economics, 27(1), 41-55.
Lanteri, L. (2015). Efectos de la enfermedad holandesa (‘Dutch disease’). Alguna evidencia para Argentina. Revista de Economía del Rosario, 18(2), 187-209.
Lartey, E. K.; Mandelman, F. S. et al. (2012). Remittances, exchange rate regimes and the Dutch disease: A panel data analysis. Review of International Economics, 20(2), 377-395.
López, G. M.; Torres, G. E., et al. (2016). The evolution of Colombian industry in the context of the energy-mining auge: Symptoms of the Dutch disease? Cuadernos de Economía, 35(68), 237-259.
Mehlum, H.; Moene, K. et al. (2006). Institutions and the resource curse. Economic Journal, 116(508), 1-20.
Neary, J. y Wijnbergen, S. (1986). Natural resources and the macroeconomy: A theoretical framework. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press.
Nyatepe-C. A. (1994). Dutch disease, government policy and import demand in Nigeria. Applied Economics, 26(4), 327-336.
Robinson, J. A.; Torvik, R., et al. (2006). Political foundations of the resource curse. Journal of Development Economics, 79(2), 447-468.
Rudd, D. (1996). An empirical analysis of Dutch disease: Developing and developed countries. Honors Projects.
Sachs, J. y Warner, A. (1995). Economic reform and the process of global integration. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1995(1), 1-118.
Seers, D. (1964). The mechanism of an open petroleum economy. Social and Economic Studies, 13(2), 233-242.
Spatafora, N. y Warner, A. (1999). Macroeconomic and sectoral effects of terms of trade shocks. The experience of the oil exporting developing countries. IMF working paper 99(134), 1-56.
Stijns, J. P. (2003). An empirical test of the Dutch disease hypothesis using a gravity model of trade. Congress of the EEA, Stocolmo.
Uribe, J. y Ortiz, C. (2006). Informalidad laboral en Colombia 1988-2000. Evolución, teorías y modelos. Cali: Universidad del Valle.
Wikstrôm, D. y Ôsterberg, H. (2003). The Dutch disease in a small economy. The case of Jamaica.
Baldwin, R. (1966). Economic development and export growth: A study of Northern Rhodesia, 1920-1960. Berkeley y Los Angeles, CA: University of California Press.
Buffie, E. F. (1992). On the condition for export-led growth. Canadian Journal of Economics, 25(1), 211-225.
Corden, W. M. (1984). Booming sector and Dutch disease economics: Survey and consolidation. Oxford Economic Papers, 36(3), 359-380.
Corden, W. M. y Neary, P. (1982). Booming sector and de-industrialization in a small open economy. Economic Journal, 92(368), 825-848.
Fontaine, G. (2002). Sobre bonanzas y dependencia: petróleo y enfermedad holandesa en el Ecuador. Íconos. Revista de Ciencias Sociales, (13), 102-110.
Hamilton, J. (1983). Oil and the macroeconomy since World War II. Journal of Political Economy, 91(2), 228-248.
Hirschman, A. (1958). The strategy of economic development. New Haven, Conn. Yale University Press.
Isham, J.; Woolcock, M. et al. (2005). The varieties of resource experience: Natural resource export structures and the political economy of economic growth. The World Bank Economic Review, 19(2), 141-174.
Jiménez, J. P. y Tromben, V. (2006). Política fiscal y bonanza: impacto del aumento de los precios de los productos no renovables en América Latina y el Caribe. Revista de la Cepal, (90), 61-86.
Katz, J. y Bernat, G. (2013). Dilemas de política económica en América Latina: evidencia para Argentina, Brasil y Chile. Revista de Economía Política de Buenos Aires, 7(12), 73-104.
Krugman, P. (1987). The narrow moving band, the Dutch disease, and the competitive consequences of Mrs. Thatcher: Notes on trade in the presence of dynamic scale economies. Journal of Development Economics, 27(1), 41-55.
Lanteri, L. (2015). Efectos de la enfermedad holandesa (‘Dutch disease’). Alguna evidencia para Argentina. Revista de Economía del Rosario, 18(2), 187-209.
Lartey, E. K.; Mandelman, F. S. et al. (2012). Remittances, exchange rate regimes and the Dutch disease: A panel data analysis. Review of International Economics, 20(2), 377-395.
López, G. M.; Torres, G. E., et al. (2016). The evolution of Colombian industry in the context of the energy-mining auge: Symptoms of the Dutch disease? Cuadernos de Economía, 35(68), 237-259.
Mehlum, H.; Moene, K. et al. (2006). Institutions and the resource curse. Economic Journal, 116(508), 1-20.
Neary, J. y Wijnbergen, S. (1986). Natural resources and the macroeconomy: A theoretical framework. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press.
Nyatepe-C. A. (1994). Dutch disease, government policy and import demand in Nigeria. Applied Economics, 26(4), 327-336.
Robinson, J. A.; Torvik, R., et al. (2006). Political foundations of the resource curse. Journal of Development Economics, 79(2), 447-468.
Rudd, D. (1996). An empirical analysis of Dutch disease: Developing and developed countries. Honors Projects.
Sachs, J. y Warner, A. (1995). Economic reform and the process of global integration. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1995(1), 1-118.
Seers, D. (1964). The mechanism of an open petroleum economy. Social and Economic Studies, 13(2), 233-242.
Spatafora, N. y Warner, A. (1999). Macroeconomic and sectoral effects of terms of trade shocks. The experience of the oil exporting developing countries. IMF working paper 99(134), 1-56.
Stijns, J. P. (2003). An empirical test of the Dutch disease hypothesis using a gravity model of trade. Congress of the EEA, Stocolmo.
Uribe, J. y Ortiz, C. (2006). Informalidad laboral en Colombia 1988-2000. Evolución, teorías y modelos. Cali: Universidad del Valle.
Wikstrôm, D. y Ôsterberg, H. (2003). The Dutch disease in a small economy. The case of Jamaica.