Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de Laffer

Taxation in Colombia: Theoretical and empirical approximation of the Laffer Curve

Contenido principal del artículo

Juan Pablo Herrera Saavedra
Juan Camilo Villar Otalora
Jacobo Campo Robledo

Resumen

Este artículo estima la curva de Laffer mediante un análisis de estática comparativa y un ejercicio econométrico. A partir de una especificación microeconómica, primero analiza la distorsión que causaría establecer un impuesto indirecto y las implicaciones de bienestar si se maximizara el recaudo tributario. Luego, con datos del ingreso tributario real per cápita y de la tasa impositiva, estima un modelo econométrico para calcular la tasa tributaria óptima en Colombia. Los resultados muestran que los postulados de Laffer se cumplen con una tasa óptima de un 32%, y sugieren que el Gobierno tiene un margen de casi 12 puntos porcentuales.

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Referencias (VER)

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